Gambling Picks for The American Express

We are back! We are putting last week’s disastrous results behind us. As always let’s have some fun and make some money.

Last Week: 0-6!
2021 Year to Date: 2-8

All Odds are taken from DraftKings.

Finishing Position
Phil Mickelson Top 30 (+150)

Mickelson is serving as the tournament host this week. He has a strong history here, posting a second-place finish here in 2019 and a third-place result in 2016. We will selectively choose to forget the missed cut last year. Plus, it’s always fun to root for Phil. Let it ride on lefty.

Finishing Position
Tony Finau Top 20 (+100)

Tony Finau ended 2020 with a T8 showing in Mayakoba. In his last start, he finished T31 at the Sentry Tournament of Champions. He finished 14th in the event last year, highlighted by a second round 62! Finau is due for a strong week. Back the big hitter.

Finishing Position
Patrick Reed Top 20 (+100)

Listen, I hate Patrick Reed. Hate might not even be a strong enough word. But last week I got my teeth kicked in and this course is suited to his strengths. I’m eating crow and making the smart play here. He won here in 2014. Four straight finishes of T21 or better. Lock it in.

Finishing Position
Rickie Fowler Top 30 (+120)

Rickie has had a rough go of it lately. To say he is due is an overstatement. His odds for a top 30 finish are only a little higher than 50-year-old Phil Mickelson. He missed the cut in his last start in Mayakoba and before that he limped to a T29 finish at The Masters. He got off to a strong start here last year with rounds of 64-65 before stalling on the weekend. He came in 10th after posting scores of 70 and 71 to fall down the leaderboard. Slick Rick can finish top 30. Did you know he technically isn’t in the 2021 Masters field yet? He needs some strong results quick to qualify.

Finishing Position
Matthew Wolff Top 20 (+150)

He is making his first start since missing the cut at The Masters. Wolff is teeing is up for the first time in two months. The young gun is rested and poised for a breakout this week. He finished 61st here last year with not exactly eye-popping numbers, but his game is held in much higher regard this year. He’s fun to watch and hits the ball a country mile. This week we are all part of the #WolffPack (did I just make that up)?

I wanted to back Brooks but wasn’t a fan of any of the odds for him. Keep an eye out because we’ll be dropping a weekend look at the odds both on the PGA Tour and European Tour.

Speaking of the European Tour, let’s throw in a little action on what’s going down in Abu Dhabi.

Better Finishing Position
Rory McIlroy (+100) over Justin Thomas

Did you know that Rory McIlroy has NEVER won his first calendar start of the year! Me either. Maybe the bulked up Ulsterman can buck that trend. That being said, McIlroy has finished fifth or better in his first event in 12 of the last 13 years. RESEARCH! That includes a top-five everywhere he’s started his year since 2014.

Who do you like this week?


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