Gambling Picks For The Farmer’s Insurance Open

We are back! Felt good to get back in the money last week. Taking our positive vibes and rolling it over this week.

We have big names and the deepest field of talent for a field in 2021, so naturally our picks are SUPER SIZED. We dug ourselves a big hole at the tournament that shall not be named (The Sony Open. I went 0-6 at the Sony Open). I believe there’s some sort of country music lyric that can apply.

Thanks, Miley.

Last Week: 3-3
2021 Year To Date: 5-11

All Odds are taken from DraftKings.

Finishing Position
Rory McIlroy Top 10 (+125)

Coming off a third-place finish in his first start of the year in Abu Dhabi, Rory looks to get back into the winner’s circle. He said he didn’t feel like his game was that strong last week and he still held the 54-hole lead and finished in the top-five. I won my bet on him last week. I’m rolling with him again. It’s his first start on the PGA Tour since his T5 finish at the Master’s. He has finished in the top five at this event each of the last two years. He was solo third last year. Let it ride on Rory.

Finishing Position
Francesco Molinari Top 20 (+275)

He’s back! After his meltdown at The Master’s in 2019 (shout out Tiger!), Molinari took much of last year off due to COVID 19 and moving his family to the United States. The Molinari’s have settled in California and it looks like he is enjoying the Golden State (that could be way off), as he finished T8 at The American Express. If we’re being honest I was torn on him for top 20 and top 30. The odds were too good to not take here.

Finishing Position
Jason Day Top 20 (+188)

Horses for courses! Jason Day has won at Torrey Pines twice in his career and he also has a second-place finish in San Diego. He has three straight top-16 finishes at the event. He finished 16th in 2020, .fifth in 2019 and won it in 2018. Look for Jason to harness the chill vibes of southern (?) California this week. He is making his first start since November, but he is comfortable here. Let’s hope for good Jason Day as opposed to back injuries every other round Jason Day.

Finishing Position
Rickie Fowler Top 30 (+188)

Rickie had a nice weekend at The American Express to end up T21. He was striking the ball great and if he made a couple more 10-15 footers he could have easily snuck into the top 10. He is ranked 61 in the Official World Golf Rankings and has some work to do to get into the field for the Master’s in April. He has top 30 finishes in two of his last three starts. Now for the bad news… Rickie has not finished in the Top 30 at this event since 2013! Yikes. He’s also missed the cut here four of the last five years. Ouch! But, he is sponsored by Farmer’s so the only way to make seeing all those commercials with him this weekend is going to be rooting for him. He needs to reinvigorate his season and career. This could be the week if he can build off Sunday’s finish.

Finishing Position
Marc Leishman Top 30 (+100)

Leishman won last year’s Farmer’s. He closed with a 65 in what turned out to be surreal day as Kobe Bryant died in a helicopter crash. Leishman has top 20 finishes at Torrey Pines in three of his last four starts. In his last start, he came in fourth at the Sony Open and before that he was T24 at the Sentry Tournament of Champions. Easy money with the Aussie.

Better Finishing Position
Charley Hoffman (+100) over Joel Dahmen

Charley Hoffman has been around forever! I know he W/D last week, but before that he was sitting at eight-under-par heading into the weekend. He finished ninth at the tournament last year with a Sunday surge (65). Dahmen is coming off a missed cut at The American Express. Dahmen has made three starts at the Farmer’s insurance. He has a missed cut, top 10 and a 55th-place finish. He’s all over the place here. Root for the guy with maybe a mullet.  

To Make The Cut
Phil Mickelson (+100)

Listen, following Phil is addictive. He is an absolute lunatic in real life and a liability on the golf course. He is going to be pressing a little coming off last week’s missed cut. Phil has played 30 events at Torrey Pines. 30! He did miss the cut last year and three of the last five years. BUT, like I said last week. It’s also a thrill to root for Phil.

Let’s have a week, everyone! We’ll check back in with a mid-tournament update and possible plays for the weekend.


There are some big names in the field once again on the European Tour as they are in Dubai for the Omega Dubai Desert Classic. Here are a couple outside the box plays heading into the week over there.

Finishing Position
Bernd Wiesberger Top 20 (+175)

What a name that is. The 35-year-old Austrian owns seven European Tour wins and he is currently poised to make is his Ryder Cup Debut in September. He finished T25 last week in windy conditions in Abu Dhabi.

Finishing Position
Rafa Cabrera-Bello Top 20 (+175)

RCB is one of the coolest dudes on the planet. He is constantly rocking his shades during the round to block out the haters, much like Hideki Matsuyama. He is coming off a fourth-place finish in Abu Dhabi last week with three of his four rounds in the 60s. He finished second here in 2016, T11 in 2017 and T6 in 2018. He has missed the last two cuts at the event as he is looking to regain his form.  

Who are you taking this week?


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